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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto Texas · draw
ResultLotto Texas
Jackpot$14,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/54 · since Jan 2010draw 391 of 2,020 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:54 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 390 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 23, 31) with the draw of 11 May 2013 — its closest relative in 390 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 September 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 124 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 165. No two numbers side by side. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 52% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈1.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 with Extra — 20,951 winners, 90% fewer than the 200k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 0 | $14,000,000 |
| Match 5 with Extra | 2 | $11,890 |
| Match 5 | 17 | $1,890 |
| Match 4 with Extra | 134 | $143 |
| Match 4 | 1,104 | $43.00 |
| Match 3 with Extra | 2,610 | $13.00 |
| Match 3 | 21,112 | $3.00 |
| Match 2 with Extra | 20,951 | $2.00 |
| Totals | 45,930 | — |