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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto Texas · draw
ResultLotto Texas
Jackpot$22,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/54 · since Jan 2010draw 241 of 2,020 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:54 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 April 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 240 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (23, 31, 46) with the draw of 18 December 2010 — its closest relative in 240 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 April 2012): 24 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 202 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 165. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24, 45–46. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 70% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈1.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,020 winners, 7% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 0 | $22,000,000 |
| Match 5 | 16 | $2,582 |
| Match 4 | 1,020 | $60.00 |
| Match 3 | 22,522 | $3.00 |