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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto Texas · draw
ResultLotto Texas
Jackpot$16,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/54 · since Jan 2010draw 216 of 2,020 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:54 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 215 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (32, 33, 39) with the draw of 9 April 2011 — its closest relative in 215 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 January 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 154 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 165. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →33 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 65% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈1.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 951 winners, 4% fewer than the 993 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 0 | $16,000,000 |
| Match 5 | 19 | $1,787 |
| Match 4 | 951 | $52.00 |
| Match 3 | 20,294 | $3.00 |