Saturday, 4 June 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (28, 38, 42) with the draw of 20 April 2011 — its closest relative in 148 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 June 2011): 28 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 144 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 165. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.