Wednesday, 13 April 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (24, 32) with the draw of 19 March 2011 — its closest relative in 133 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 April 2011): 32 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 163 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 165. No two numbers side by side. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 75% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.