Saturday, 24 July 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (16, 34) with the draw of 3 July 2010 — its closest relative in 58 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 July 2010): 33 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 196 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 165. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 78% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.