Tuesday, 1 April 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 12, 13, 16) with the draw of 1 March 2014 — its closest relative in 1,324 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 39% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 March 2014): 16 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 75 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.