Friday, 12 July 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 22, 24, 25) with the draw of 17 March 2010 — its closest relative in 1,099 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 33% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 July 2013): 3 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 108 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.