Thursday, 23 August 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (21, 27, 29, 33) with the draw of 7 June 2012 — its closest relative in 822 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 26% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 August 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 112 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. No two numbers side by side. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.