Wednesday, 13 June 2012

Its nearest twin

This exact draw has happened before, on 13 July 2010. Chance gave a match this close a 0.2% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 June 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 116 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. No two numbers side by side. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.