Saturday, 20 February 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 23, 33) with the draw of 19 February 2020 — its closest relative in 1,135 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 75 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. No two numbers side by side. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.