Wednesday, 30 August 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 14, 15) with the draw of 25 June 2016 — its closest relative in 772 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 August 2017): 7, 14 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 60 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8, 14–15, 15–16. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.