Thursday, 4 July 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 31, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 May 2019 — its closest relative in 411 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 July 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (3% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 94 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. No two numbers side by side. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.