Monday, 8 January 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 13, 30) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 December 2023 — its closest relative in 260 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 January 2024): 30 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 0 repeated (9% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 64 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.