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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball Double Play · draw

Wednesday, 15 September 2021

ResultPowerball Double Play

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 34
  3. 36
  4. 38
  5. 57
  6. 7

Jackpot$435,700,000

The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Aug 2021draw 11 of 806 under them

← 2021-09-13All recent draws2021-09-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 34 36 38 57 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd33th
  • low33th
  • widest gap75th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

52times
341time
360times
381time
57

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-15

  • Lines in play≈ 19Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$9.4Mto 777k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 532%$3.0M
  • Match 4 plus Powerball15%$1.4M
  • Match 0 plus Powerball30%$2.8M
  • 7 other tiers23%$2.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Powerball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

0times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

70times

Every number was expected about that many times after 10 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (5, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 September 2021 — its closest relative in 10 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 33% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

170

The numbers add up to 170 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 51% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$435,700,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.6 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Powerball2 rows folded in24≈ 21 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4411≈ 523 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Powerball2 rows folded in1,457≈ 1.3k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Powerball2 rows folded in28,338≈ 27k by chance$7.00
  • Match 327,603≈ 33k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Powerball2 rows folded in213,145≈ 208k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Powerball2 rows folded in498,139≈ 498k by chance$4.00
  • Match 50$2,000,000
  • Match 4109$300
  • Match 37,665$21.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈19M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 411 winners, 21% fewer than the 523 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 plus Powerball0$435,700,000
    Match 53$1,000,000
    Match 4 plus Powerball22$50,000
    Match 4411$100
    Match 3 plus Powerball1,160$100
    Match 327,603$7.00
    Match 2 plus Powerball22,276$7.00
    Match 1 plus Powerball167,685$4.00
    Match 0 plus Powerball392,028$4.00
    Match 5 (with Power Play)0$2,000,000
    Match 4 plus Powerball (with Power Play)2$150,000
    Match 4 (with Power Play)109$300
    Match 3 plus Powerball (with Power Play)297$300
    Match 3 (with Power Play)7,665$21.00
    Match 2 plus Powerball (with Power Play)6,062$21.00
    Match 1 plus Powerball (with Power Play)45,460$12.00
    Match 0 plus Powerball (with Power Play)106,111$12.00
    Totals776,894—