Monday, 11 November 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 12, 16, 20) with the draw of 16 September 2012 — its closest relative in 3,130 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 November 2019): 5 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 78 — the 50th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 78. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.