Friday, 2 February 2018

Its nearest twin

This exact draw has happened before, on 18 May 2012. Chance gave a match this close a 1.7% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 February 2018): 28 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 60 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 78. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 13–14. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.