Tuesday, 26 August 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 13, 16, 24) with the draw of 17 September 2011 — its closest relative in 1,593 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 August 2014): 8 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 88 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 78. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.