Sunday, 5 December 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 15, 16, 27) with the draw of 5 June 2010 — its closest relative in 241 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 December 2010): 1 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 65 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 78. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.