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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Match 6 Lotto · draw

Friday, 10 October 2025

ResultMatch 6 Lotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 15
  3. 28
  4. 29
  5. 43
  6. 49

Jackpot$530,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Apr 2011draw 3,607 of 3,989 under them

← 2025-10-09All recent draws2025-10-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:52 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 15 28 29 43 4929 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 442 of each

9446times
15452times
28460times
29402times
43

Prize breakdown · 2025-10-10

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$92.5Kto 24k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 544lines took a prize
  • Match 6 of 181,081 winnerschance said 0.95

Where the money went

  • Match 5 of 1835%$32.3K
  • Match 4 of 1834%$31.7K
  • Match 3 of 613%$11.9K
  • 3 other tiers18%$16.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 6 of 182 rows folded in1,081≈ 0.95 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

418times
49427times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,606 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 15, 43, 49) with the draw of 28 January 2023 — its closest relative in 3,606 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 October 2025): 43 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$500,000
  • Match 5 of 182 rows folded in4,272≈ 245 by chance$1,000
  • Match 4 of 182 rows folded in12,851≈ 13k by chance$20.00
  • Match 3 of 65,971≈ 234k by chance$2.00
  • Match 10+ of 180$2,500
  • Match 9 of 180$1,000
  • Match 8 of 1820$50.00
  • Match 7 of 18190$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 of 6 — 5,971 winners, 97% fewer than the 234k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 of 60$500,000
    Match 5 of 611$1,000
    Match 4 of 6331$20.00
    Match 3 of 65,971$2.00
    Match 10+ of 180$2,500
    Match 9 of 180$1,000
    Match 8 of 1820$50.00
    Match 7 of 18190$25.00
    Match 6 of 181,081$10.00
    Match 5 of 184,261$5.00
    Match 4 of 1812,520$2.00
    Totals24,385—