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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Match 6 Lotto · draw

Tuesday, 23 February 2021

ResultMatch 6 Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 4
  4. 13
  5. 17
  6. 26

Jackpot$4,680,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Apr 2011draw 1,917 of 3,990 under them

← 2021-02-22All recent draws2021-02-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:52 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 4 13 17 2629 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

26oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum0th
  • odd77th
  • low94th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 235 of each

1225times
3218times
4245times
13234times
17

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-23

  • Lines in play≈ 59Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$5.1Mto 111k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 534lines took a prize
  • Match 6 of 185,158 winnerschance said 4.2

Where the money went

  • Match 6 of 1893%$4.7M
  • Match 5 of 182.5%$128.1K
  • Match 4 of 182.8%$142.7K
  • 5 other tiers2.0%$100.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 of 182 rows folded in5,158≈ 4.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

260times
26235times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,916 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 13, 17, 26) with the draw of 23 March 2020 — its closest relative in 1,916 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 February 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

64

The numbers add up to 64 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$4,680,000
  • Match 5 of 182 rows folded in19,657≈ 1.1k by chance$1,000
  • Match 4 of 182 rows folded in57,187≈ 57k by chance$20.00
  • Match 3 of 627,507≈ 1.0M by chance$2.00
  • Match 10+ of 181$2,500
  • Match 9 of 1814$1,000
  • Match 8 of 18124$50.00
  • Match 7 of 18911$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈59M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 of 18 — 19,657 winners, 1705% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 of 61$4,680,000
    Match 5 of 630$1,000
    Match 4 of 61,571$20.00
    Match 3 of 627,507$2.00
    Match 10+ of 181$2,500
    Match 9 of 1814$1,000
    Match 8 of 18124$50.00
    Match 7 of 18911$25.00
    Match 6 of 185,157$10.00
    Match 5 of 1819,627$5.00
    Match 4 of 1855,616$2.00
    Totals110,559—