Thursday, 9 August 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 17, 22, 45) with the draw of 19 June 2017 — its closest relative in 987 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 62% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 August 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 122 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.