Sunday, 11 March 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 22, 24, 49) with the draw of 29 October 2017 — its closest relative in 836 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 56% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 March 2018): 22 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 174 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 55% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.