Thursday, 20 April 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (31, 34, 37) with the draw of 19 February 2017 — its closest relative in 585 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 April 2017): 44 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 195 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 67% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.