Thursday, 26 November 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (20, 25, 27, 33) with the draw of 11 October 2012 — its closest relative in 417 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 34% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 November 2015): 25 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 147 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26, 26–27. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.