Monday, 1 July 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (23, 30, 49) with the draw of 6 December 2012 — its closest relative in 166 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 June 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 158 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.