Sunday, 22 December 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 28, 37, 41) with the draw of 28 November 2019 — its closest relative in 3,534 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 December 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 127 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. No two numbers side by side. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.