Saturday, 8 April 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 24, 28) with the draw of 9 March 2017 — its closest relative in 2,547 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 April 2017): 24 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 111 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.