Thursday, 24 November 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 12, 18, 24) with the draw of 13 June 2011 — its closest relative in 2,415 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 38% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 November 2016): 18, 24 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 94 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. No two numbers side by side. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.