Monday, 29 September 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 26, 42) with the draw of 10 March 2014 — its closest relative in 1,629 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 September 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 132 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.