Tuesday, 23 September 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 20, 37) with the draw of 3 May 2013 — its closest relative in 1,623 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 September 2014): 8, 16 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 104 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. No two numbers side by side. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.