Tuesday, 29 March 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 9, 10) with the draw of 9 June 2010 — its closest relative in 355 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 March 2011): 10 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 33 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9, 9–10. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.