Wednesday, 14 October 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 4 numbers (19, 22, 63) with the draw of 20 September 2014 — its closest relative in 863 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 17% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 October 2015): 37 carried over. Chance says 20% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 141 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 156. No two numbers side by side. 15% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 60 draws. A number waits about 19 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.