Monday, 17 May 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 4 numbers (10) with the draw of 5 May 2010 — its closest relative in 17 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 May 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 20% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 191 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 156. No two numbers side by side. 15% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

58 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 19 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.