Saturday, 26 January 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 9, 13, 44) with the draw of 28 May 2016 — its closest relative in 1,377 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 January 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 117 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 147. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.