Wednesday, 11 January 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 19, 44) with the draw of 23 December 2015 — its closest relative in 1,058 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 January 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 150 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 147. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 47% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.