Wednesday, 17 April 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 19, 32, 45) with the draw of 27 July 2011 — its closest relative in 473 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 40% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 April 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 167 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 147. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.