Wednesday, 8 May 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 19, 32) with the draw of 17 February 2024 — its closest relative in 5,132 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 71 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.