Wednesday, 7 October 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (9, 16, 34, 35) with the draw of 20 November 2018 — its closest relative in 3,823 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 October 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 119 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.