Monday, 4 February 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (17, 24, 28, 35) with the draw of 8 February 2017 — its closest relative in 3,212 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 February 2019): 35 carried over. Chance says 55% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 118 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 93. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.