Sunday, 15 May 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 7, 32, 34) with the draw of 2 July 2021 — its closest relative in 4,413 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 73% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 May 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 95 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.