Tuesday, 22 January 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (9, 10, 16, 39) with the draw of 26 April 2018 — its closest relative in 3,204 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 January 2019): 39 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 99 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.