Monday, 20 November 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (13, 14, 16, 25) with the draw of 27 March 2015 — its closest relative in 2,776 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 56% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 November 2017): 14 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 104 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.