Friday, 4 November 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 9, 16) with the draw of 20 August 2016 — its closest relative in 2,396 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 November 2016): 8 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 86 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.