Thursday, 21 March 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 14, 20, 31) with the draw of 30 November 2011 — its closest relative in 4,767 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 March 2024): 31 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 106 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. No two numbers side by side. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.