Tuesday, 20 June 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 12, 14, 32) with the draw of 18 July 2022 — its closest relative in 4,492 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 June 2023): 14, 32 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 89 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. No two numbers side by side. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 57 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.