Sunday, 11 June 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 11, 18, 32) with the draw of 14 September 2022 — its closest relative in 4,483 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 June 2023): 11 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 94 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.