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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Pick 6 · draw

Monday, 4 October 2021

ResultPick 6

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 10
  4. 22
  5. 41
  6. 47

Jackpot$8,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,227 of 2,033 under them

← 2021-09-30All recent draws2021-10-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:50 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 10 22 41 4729 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 150 of each

1173times
3169times
10154times
22134times
41

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 722kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$147.0Kto 28k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 524%$35.8K
  • Match 429%$41.9K
  • Match 329%$42.2K
  • 1 other tier18%$27.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.05 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

138times
47138times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,226 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 3, 10) with the draw of 8 February 2021 — its closest relative in 1,226 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 September 2021): 3, 10 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

124

The numbers add up to 124 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$8,000,000
  • Match 516≈ 13 by chance$2,239
  • Match 4699≈ 699 by chance$60.00
  • Match 314,070≈ 13k by chance$3.00
  • Match 2 + XTRA13,493≈ 96k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈722k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 + XTRA — 13,493 winners, 86% fewer than the 96k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$8,000,000
    Match 516$2,239
    Match 4699$60.00
    Match 314,070$3.00
    Match 2 + XTRA13,493$2.00
    Totals28,278—