Sunday, 7 August 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 22, 25, 32) with the draw of 12 April 2015 — its closest relative in 690 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 13% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 August 2016): 22 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 98 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 45 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.