Wednesday, 9 March 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 15, 34) with the draw of 6 February 2016 — its closest relative in 539 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 March 2016): 15 carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 103 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.